I said i would not address this specific issue further, but i feel some things need to be cleared up.
Thaddeus, how highly unlikely?
Truth is, scientifically speaking, we cannot accurately predict the Sun's activity ahead of time (we do not fully understand how the sun works and there are too many variables we don't know about), we can only say something like, "well so far in this Solar Max cycle, the Sun has been producing less Sunspots than other Solar Max cycles and so it will probably be weaker throughout the cycle."
However, number of average sunspots do not equal a nice, neat correlation to size of Earth directed CME's necessarily in a singular sense. All it takes is one really large one from one Sunspot. The Sun is very much capable of producing that at any time during any Solar Maximum. There was a good sized one produced last week or so, and red auroras visible down to around 45 degrees latitudes. Red auroras, especially at those latitudes, are somewhat rare.
In short, the Sun scientifically speaking is a wild card, and we have no way of accurately predicting it's specific behavior from that perspective. It's not like terrestrial weather, which we can sort of predict accurately ahead of time (most times). As far as a large CME knocking out most of the electrical grid system in this country, there seems to be dissenting opinions among the experts and researchers.
Some point out the Quebec event was not due to transformers over heating/frying, but rather seven relays tripping almost at once. However, the Solar event that preceded the Quebec outage wasn't even close to the strength of a Carrington event. The Sun can produce flares and CME's stronger than the Carrington. It's sort of like comparing a 6. mag earthquake to a 9 mag. Most areas don't have to worry too much about a 6, but even well prepared areas would have extensive damage in a 9.
Would you expect the electrical grid system to hold up to events as strong, or stronger than a Carrington like event?
Why not practically speaking, prepare for the worst and hope for the best or vice versa? Does that preparation cause any harm? That's all i'm advising. If someone takes anything from what i've talked about, please at least just take that, prepare your stuff well with a durable and holistically multlifaceted set up. I don't have compound or cult that i'm asking people to join, i'm not seeking money in any way, all i'm doing is passing along the information that was given to me because i want more good hearted, survival knowledgeable people to survive to help out in the future.