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I live in northwest Arkansas and have section hiked a little over half of the OHT, with much of that in the winter. I would agree that the temperature is usually relatively mild, but it can be wet (rain or snow), so keeping your bag dry will be a concern. For the weight & size benefit, I would consider a bivy sack over the bag, as well as a pack liner to keep it dry during the day. I would probably opt for the slightly lighter bag, with the bivy sack helping make up the difference in temperature (if needed), but that would also depend on your personal "temperature" rating.
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