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The pad should be fine as this is what I use in those temps and have been toasty.
Ideally having a sleeping bag with a proper EN rating is the best place to start, but assuming your bag is, in fact, has a 30 degree relative comfort rating then I would probably just bring the 150-weight merino long-sleeve top and the Eldo jacket (you would want this around camp anyway). What about some leg insulation?
Edited by FamilyGuy on 10/18/2011 13:24:55 MDT.
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