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If there's a chance you'll get rained on, I'd take the synthetic. If you're expecting to get snowed on, the down jacket will be fine. Snow brushes off, and the material of most jackets will repel a little moisture.
BTW, there's nothing nastier, IMO, than a soaked-through down coat. You not only freeze your glutes off, but the weight of the wet coat is oppressive.
Stargazer
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