Now that you mention it, I definitely agree on the stuff sacks. I plan to make the following changes:
1) Ditch the small dry bag for a zip lock. I will only have my ID and some cash, so it's not a big deal even if it does get wet.
2) Ditch the clothing stuff sack. I used to never use a backpack liner, as we avoided hiking in bad weather, and I honestly overlooked that one. I'm not sure how I will like loose clothing, but I can try some different options of packing before I head out.
3) Ditch the cooking stuff sack. I actually just received a nested kit which will replace my ad-hoc kit.
4) Neoair stuff sack. I agree that there are not many things within the pack that could puncture the pad, but it seems like very fragile material and it makes me a little nervous. I will consider it's removal for now, but I am not sure I will follow through with it.
My notation of "LJ" is short for long johns. I have OCD and had to abbreviate it instead of typing it out (don't ask!)
My "worn" socks are the Injinji mini crew.
The two shirts are for a few reasons. Specifically, I wanted to bring a long sleeve (lighter) insulating upper as my main insulation will be a vest (MB). Without the long sleeve shirt I would have no arm insulation outside of a wind shirt/rain jacket. I guess I could leave the SS shirt at home, but I feel a 200 gm weight LS shirt may be uncomfortable if the days are nice. I also feel much more comfortable sleeping in LS/LJ combo as opposed to a Vest/LJ combo.
I do have a Wind Shirt (Montane Lite Speed). Along with your comment about predictable weather, I plan to make a decision at the trail head whether to bring the wind shirt, rain jacket, or both. The weight of the wind shirt is a few ounces less than the rain jacket, so I didn't mention it (or note it on the list) as the overall weight will not change much.
Another trail head decision will be for shorts or pants. I have some Montane Terra pants and will make an educated decision once I know the weather. Either way, I don't consider weight worn so the +/- weight doesn't bother me.
I am currently trying to sell some items to fund a new Canon S90. If I can do that in time that will be my camera of choice. If not, I will simply borrow and point and shoot.
I believe I will be bringing some OR 150 lightweight gloves. They will wet out fairly easily, but we are only trekking 15 miles in ~2.5 days of hiking. We have planned for much leisure time, so if the rain gets bad enough we will simply stop and set up camp. Hell, if the rain is horrible we wouldn't have a problem camping in the same spot for the entire trip. We will have fun out there either way!
Thanks for all the input. I really appreciate it.