Everyone is different so this sort of thing can be a personal preference but here is my opinion.
For the lower end of your temp range, I might add a warm (200 wt fleece) glove or mitt and drop the Thinsulate Gloves. In the higher end of your range, the liners would probably be fine. I do however agree with Ross in that I would add UL waterproof shells (MLD Rain Mitts, etc) especially in the 30’s and 40’s here in the southeast.
Is the REI shirt the same one you are wearing in the day? If not, you shouldn’t need it. You already have a dry shirt to sleep in.
I would not take the vest. You shouldn’t need it in camp at those temps with your down jacket, and you won’t need it hiking at those temps.
I use a quilt and therefore take a balaclava for sleeping in, but if you don’t need it for that, a fleece hat should be plenty.
You shouldn’t need the M-65 liners at those temps.
I have decided that I really like a separate wind shirt for hiking on cold windy days. I just find it breaths so much better than any rain jacket. For in camp use, a rain jacket is just fine.