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I think your analysis is correct, it is going to happen, as long as the point where the temp changes from above freezing to freezing is inside the bag - btw it will happen with a synthetic bag too, I read somewhere that the Steger expedition had to start using vb liners because their bags were icing up. So I think the answer is, vb. I hate liners of any sort, never had one that didn't sort of tangle up in there - have you tried vb clothing? You are nice and warm there in your tipi (I have one too) and before bed you can put on vapor underwear, and whatever clothes on top of that you might want. That answers the other objection to vapor barrier liners, that your clothes get soaked. This way the majority of your insensible persp. will not end up in the down. this might do the trick for you - Others have spoken of using a sythetic overbag, so the freezing will take place in THAT layer, but ultimately it would have to be dried too, wouldnt it. The Steger expedition was using synthetic bags, and they're the ones who had to go to vb, cause the bags gained about 8 lbs weight from the ice and lost warmth. I have often thought, being out continuously in subzero is a challenging proposition.
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